by wyandottecaver » Feb 8, 2013 11:02 am
never attribute to malice that which can adequately be explained by......
a consensus position formed: greenhouse gases were deeply involved in most climate changes, and human emissions were bringing serious global warming.......another way of my responding to your post is simply to point out that a lot of learned men making statements that were true.......were very wrong and stood in the way of early action on global warming from being considered seriously....
Nope. The reason that global warming IS STILL hotly debated is that the models used (for whichever theory, take your pick) are invariably biased or based on unprovable assumptions. I think many people recognize global warming is happening, its the hows and whys and what impact any particular variable has that is at issue. What those learned men did was criticize sloppy work which forced people to look harder at their assumptions...as for action, that has nothing at all to do with science as we have seen, but with money and politics.
........pater......i am totally educated enough to understand the way genetics works and also how it doesn't work....
Based on your posts we can agree to disagree
i just am not sure how a very significant increase in the insects bats feed on will effect us......i am sure that bats will survive as a species in this part of the world no matter how bungling are the actions of the humans living during that period of time
it will probably affect us the same way an increase in the number of things Passenger Pigeons fed on did, you know, the American bird that was once so numerous a single flock could block the sun for an afternoon and snap the branches of oak trees when they landed.......Go find one (a way we were affected by their uneaten food sources that is, Passenger Pigeons are extinct). Bats aren't a species BTW.
.....i can also see that the bat scientific community is just as open to my suggestion of this topic as i knew they would be......
I certainly agree that just because someone calls themselves a scientist, biologist, or expert doesn't mean they can actually think, or even in some cases understand what they manage...However, the bat scientific community as a whole does posses a pretty good background for evaluating suggestions. BTW, being open to a suggestion is not the same thing as agreeing to a course of action that is based on several assumptions we already know from direct experiance to be false.
semantic discussions of origin are just that....accomplishing nothing....it came from europe....VBE's don't get wns!......that is a good thing.....did't know that....my IQ says its the non suppression of the immune system that does that......another IQ thing.......bats feed on flying insects......the further you go out to sea during the night the fewer flying insects you will find......bats are flying at night to feed........you follow the logic?.....i smell semantics in your other statements of things that could be true....
IQ is based on intelligence, knowing VBE don't suppress their immune system is simply data you didnt have before and has nothing to do with IQ. You also conveniently missed Peter's mention of fur musk...which is new to me and possibly a very big factor in preventing GD from getting a hold in the first place. As for your flying insects analogy...your kung fu must be greater than mine there...
the example where native bats were introduced into an area where native species had already been ALL killed by wns and then saying that because the wns killed ALL the newly introduced native bats and therefore all NON NATIVE BATS would suffer the same results is idiotic on its face.....flash....bats exist in the world who are all already not killed by wns infection.......
Flash, remember your educated about Genetics right? Different gentics is different genetics whether they are different native gentics or non native. The bats in Europe are no more genetically diverse from infected little browns than infected pipistrelles, grays and big browns that are all native.
No one, anywhere, has shown a single bat that isn't killed by WNS infection yet. They have shown bats that survive longer than others and shown bats that apparently don't get it. What is idiotic on it's face is assuming that just because a bat in Europe can survive..for some period...with WNS in Europe, that same bat can survive in a totally new environment under totally different conditions and exposed to totally different ecology. Maybe it can, but history shows it as being very uncertain.
removing 50 individuals of VBE's is a justifiable risk to take under those conditions at that time porter.......i am not surprised that authorities could not see the value in risking .00125 percent of the population in an attempt to protect against a worst case scenario .....
You have mentioned Peter's name 3 times and didn't get it right any of them...you need to take more time in examining your typing and your assumptions. Everyone recognized the value, they also recognized stupidity. We can agree that saving money for the future has value, hiding paper money in a wood stove during winter probably isn't the best way to do that. The VBE experiment was essentially the same thing.
i would also suggest that the actions taken could have been predictably fatal to the bats due to a very poor experiment design as it sounds like it was...do you think it would have been better for the "authorities" to have suggested a better experimental design and less opposition to the idea itself..maybe a little more productive?......
The opposition was not as much about the idea (there was some) but about the design and who was doing it. The fact that they didn't suggest a better design and wouldn't listen to those that could was the reason for much of the opposition in the first place.
the actions of introducing non native bats would increase biological diversity....i acknowlege the potential dangers except your insistence that it would lower genetic diversity
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That is a patently poor assumption since in MOST cases of introducing non natives the exact opposite can be expected to happen and HAS happened over and over throughout the world.
...apparently you can't make the intellectual leap in seeing that a seperate population of european bats successfully establishing a colony in this area and co-existing with native bats would increase genetic variability IN THE AREA'S BAT POPULATION due simply to the fact they survive and are there....a good doctoral study here would be testing this co-existing out.......if the seperate colonies interbreed that would significantly increase genetic diversity also....but they wouldn't have to interbreed immediately for this to occur.........it might happen 200 years later.
Intellectual leaps seems to be a specialty of yours. Biology, history, and good old fashioned observation have already shown that non natives surviving, co-existing, and interbreeding are all indeed theoretically possible, and all are also extremely unlikely, and all of them happening is so unlikely as to verge on functionally impossible.
my suggestion is directed at a complete or near complete extinction event which is what i thought we were facing.....you make it sound like that is already known to not be likely and bats are surviving well enough to already be able to re-establish decimated colonies, something i find a little unbelievable............
I think Peter was saying that we aren't to the point of saying this will be a extinction event or not. Increases in individual colonies are encouraging but don't really show whether the population as a whole is increasing or just relocating among caves. In the case of Big Browns, an increasing population may in fact be true.
.i also am positive that north american cavers or bats or other hibernating birds will spread the wns fungi to mexico and south america......if wns has appeared and thrived to any degree anywhere in the world in places near the equator or tropical or hot environment, then south american bats are at risk.......also you or no one can assume that a strain of wns that is climate resistent can't develop at some point...........
GD has already been shown to not grow in relatively mild summer conditions. While spores can survive higher temps, GD must be able to grow to cause WNS in bats and that appears impossible at sub tropical temperatures. As you say, it could mutate, but then it would have to overcome non hibernting bats with active immune systems which your IQ has already deemed makes them safe.
I'm not scared of the dark, it's the things IN the dark that make me nervous. :)