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David Grimes wrote:who goes to Oklahoma to go caving?
muddyface wrote:David Grimes wrote:who goes to Oklahoma to go caving?
Some person I know up here in Syracuse went in some random pothole in Oklahoma years ago. As far as this "jump" idea goes it's really the only thing that supports the possibility of human transmission, but is really just a speculation. The Oklahoma bat tested positive for the fungus, but someone else here who knows a bit more about mycology says that similar fungi in the Geomyces genus can appear to be G. destructans when tested. The other jump people look at is how WNS was confirmed in southern NY the winter of 2007-2008, and suddenly the next year appeared as far south as VA, and WV. But if you look at the new cases across Pennsylvania for the winter of 2008-2009 it follows a path right along a major cave and mine region there. It is said that the distance between souther NY and the counties in the Virginias are outside the annual flight range of a bat. What I think happened is that NY bats spread it to PA bats, then the PA bats went further south the same year since different colonies intermix during summer and fall. So the disease did not in fact "jump", it was relayed between different colonies along the same migration corridor.
Scott McCrea wrote:Dear USFWS,
Please stop using the term "jump." It is not science. It is speculation and assumption. If you don't know why, you should not be doing science.
Sincerely,
Cave Jumpers of America
PYoungbaer wrote:Here's another fact about the so-called "jump" - according to the Northeastern Cave conservancy cave visitation database, which is cited by the USFWS, less than 20% of the visited caves listed were checked the next year, and there are literally hundreds of others unchecked by wildlife biologists. This was due to the funding streams supporting primarily only endangered bat monitoring.
Another fact: the "jump" cave affected bat was discovered by a newbie caver with a camera. It's entirely possible that there were many infected caves in between, but only because people were observant and reporting did this get described as a "jump."
It is indeed speculation.
PYoungbaer wrote:Another fact: the "jump" cave affected bat was discovered by a newbie caver with a camera. It's entirely possible that there were many infected caves in between, but only because people were observant and reporting did this get described as a "jump."
It is indeed speculation.
JSDunham wrote:Actually, I think there were definitely infected caves in between--if I recall correctly, the alleged "jump" was measured from the WNS initial sites to one site in VA, ignoring the possibility of leap-frogging through known infected sites in south-western NY and at least highly suspect sites in PA.
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