Cavechat.org

George,

The answer is in BCI's flyway and banding data. Most bats don't travel that widely, particularly in the east. But *some* have. Indeed, the one site in TN was from a bat species NEVER recorded in the cave before. Certainly that doesn't mean a caver didn't transport to hamilton, but it doesn't mean a caver had too either. Plus, given that we haven't seen a continuation of that trend, we are forced to conclude that if people are carrying GD, We aren't very dang good at it.

wyandottecaver wrote:George,

given that we haven't seen a continuation of that trend, we are forced to conclude that if people are carrying GD, We aren't very dang good at it.

I've been mulling over this aspect of the debate for some time. I have yet to see any debate or analysis that the initial contamination event could very well have been the result of overcoming powerball-sized odds.

If the chances of solely human-based spread of G. destructans were 1 in 1 Million (much less 1 per 100 Million+ of powerball), would we deem that a significant risk?


-Dean


Dean Wiseman
NSS#32690 RL, BOG

DeanWiseman wrote:

wyandottecaver wrote:George,

given that we haven't seen a continuation of that trend, we are forced to conclude that if people are carrying GD, We aren't very dang good at it.

I've been mulling over this aspect of the debate for some time. I have yet to see any debate or analysis that the initial contamination event could very well have been the result of overcoming powerball-sized odds.

If the chances of solely human-based spread of G. destructans were 1 in 1 Million (much less 1 per 100 Million+ of powerball), would we deem that a significant risk?


-Dean


Dean Wiseman
NSS#32690 RL, BOG

I would be better off playing powerball!